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Attribution in a Cookie-Less World: New Models for Measurement πŸͺ

Your attribution model is living in 2019 (here's the 2025 version)

"Where did this sale come from?"

If you're still relying on last-click attribution to answer that question, you're basically driving blindfolded.

iOS 14.5 killed traditional tracking. Chrome is ditching third-party cookies. Your attribution model? It's showing you a beautiful lie.

But here's the thing: The smartest brands aren't panicking. They're adapting.

The Attribution Reality Check

What your dashboard shows: "Meta drove 70% of sales" What actually happened: Customer saw Meta ad β†’ Googled your brand β†’ Read reviews β†’ Bought via email

Traditional attribution = the last person who touched the ball gets all the credit.

Image via Delighted

The New Attribution Paradigm

🎯 Think Contribution, Not Attribution Every touchpoint contributes to the sale Value incremental lift over last-click credit Measure influence, not just conversion.

🎯 Embrace Incrementality Testing Geo-holdout tests show true platform impact Brand lift studies measure awareness contribution Media mix modeling reveals the full picture.

🎯 Build First-Party Data Systems Customer surveys reveal the real journey Post-purchase attribution surveys UTM tracking for owned channel analysis.

The Modern Measurement Stack

Level 1: Platform-Native Reporting Use each platform's own conversion tracking Understand their modeling methodology Take it as directional, not absolute truth

Level 2: Blended Performance Metrics Track overall marketing efficiency (MER) Monitor total cost per acquisition across all channels Measure incremental revenue growth

Level 3: Incrementality Testing Run geo-holdout tests quarterly Test platform pausing to measure true impact Use synthetic control groups for measurement

The Practical Attribution Framework

Daily: Monitor blended ROAS and overall CAC Weekly: Review contribution by channel Monthly: Run post-purchase attribution surveys Quarterly: Conduct incrementality tests

The Mental Shift

Stop asking: "Which ad drove this sale?" Start asking: "How do all our touch points work together?"

Old thinking: Perfect attribution New thinking: Better decision-making with imperfect data

Your Action Plan

  1. Implement post-purchase surveys this week

  2. Set up blended performance tracking

  3. Plan your first geo-holdout test

  4. Stop optimizing for perfect attribution

The future belongs to brands that can navigate uncertainty, not those waiting for perfect data.

Ready to embrace the new reality?